Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 1:52 PM, 271 voters in 33 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 213,832 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 179,689 - 230,409). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in the data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included in the above count. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 1:52 PM 3017 c(2.5% = 2688) c(97.5% = 3399)
02 1:52 PM 4720 c(2.5% = 4285) c(97.5% = 5305)
03 1:52 PM 2737 c(2.5% = 2241) c(97.5% = 2949)
04 1:52 PM 2760 c(2.5% = 2201) c(97.5% = 2974)
05 1:52 PM 6946 c(2.5% = 6129) c(97.5% = 7828)
06 1:52 PM 1852 c(2.5% = 1578) c(97.5% = 1995)
07 1:52 PM 1966 c(2.5% = 1351) c(97.5% = 2253)
08 1:52 PM 6403 c(2.5% = 5730) c(97.5% = 7328)
09 1:52 PM 3031 c(2.5% = 2650) c(97.5% = 3408)
10 1:52 PM 3964 c(2.5% = 3336) c(97.5% = 4256)
11 1:52 PM 1757 c(2.5% = 1371) c(97.5% = 1890)
12 1:52 PM 3014 c(2.5% = 2559) c(97.5% = 3221)
13 1:52 PM 2718 c(2.5% = 2235) c(97.5% = 2913)
14 1:52 PM 1190 c(2.5% = 1008) c(97.5% = 1293)
15 1:52 PM 3333 c(2.5% = 3005) c(97.5% = 3734)
16 1:52 PM 1481 c(2.5% = 1137) c(97.5% = 1599)
17 1:52 PM 3326 c(2.5% = 2784) c(97.5% = 3571)
18 1:52 PM 2994 c(2.5% = 2552) c(97.5% = 3321)
19 1:52 PM 1473 c(2.5% = 1048) c(97.5% = 1649)
20 1:52 PM 1406 c(2.5% = 1079) c(97.5% = 1509)
21 1:52 PM 7706 c(2.5% = 6685) c(97.5% = 8606)
22 1:52 PM 4121 c(2.5% = 3512) c(97.5% = 4501)
23 1:52 PM 2558 c(2.5% = 2058) c(97.5% = 2772)
24 1:52 PM 2180 c(2.5% = 1802) c(97.5% = 2345)
25 1:52 PM 2105 c(2.5% = 1613) c(97.5% = 2360)
26 1:52 PM 2971 c(2.5% = 2458) c(97.5% = 3335)
27 1:52 PM 4006 c(2.5% = 3084) c(97.5% = 4587)
28 1:52 PM 1574 c(2.5% = 1202) c(97.5% = 1697)
29 1:52 PM 1550 c(2.5% = 1337) c(97.5% = 1675)
30 1:52 PM 2972 c(2.5% = 2581) c(97.5% = 3421)
31 1:52 PM 2554 c(2.5% = 2143) c(97.5% = 2912)
32 1:52 PM 2633 c(2.5% = 2006) c(97.5% = 2812)
33 1:52 PM 2276 c(2.5% = 1614) c(97.5% = 2524)
34 1:52 PM 5666 c(2.5% = 4839) c(97.5% = 6119)
35 1:52 PM 3936 c(2.5% = 3104) c(97.5% = 4249)
36 1:52 PM 4680 c(2.5% = 4049) c(97.5% = 5075)
37 1:52 PM 1697 c(2.5% = 1289) c(97.5% = 1828)
38 1:52 PM 2823 c(2.5% = 2422) c(97.5% = 3061)
39 1:52 PM 5648 c(2.5% = 4864) c(97.5% = 6361)
40 1:52 PM 6037 c(2.5% = 5036) c(97.5% = 6427)
41 1:52 PM 2361 c(2.5% = 1816) c(97.5% = 2644)
42 1:52 PM 3079 c(2.5% = 2304) c(97.5% = 3306)
43 1:52 PM 2435 c(2.5% = 1744) c(97.5% = 2636)
44 1:52 PM 1856 c(2.5% = 1480) c(97.5% = 2002)
45 1:52 PM 2647 c(2.5% = 2064) c(97.5% = 2947)
46 1:52 PM 3477 c(2.5% = 2968) c(97.5% = 3893)
47 1:52 PM 1147 c(2.5% = 953) c(97.5% = 1230)
48 1:52 PM 2665 c(2.5% = 2242) c(97.5% = 2873)
49 1:52 PM 3380 c(2.5% = 2827) c(97.5% = 3606)
50 1:52 PM 4566 c(2.5% = 3908) c(97.5% = 5040)
51 1:52 PM 2998 c(2.5% = 2532) c(97.5% = 3198)
52 1:52 PM 3612 c(2.5% = 3128) c(97.5% = 3955)
53 1:52 PM 2655 c(2.5% = 2080) c(97.5% = 2907)
54 1:52 PM 1938 c(2.5% = 1425) c(97.5% = 2185)
55 1:52 PM 3024 c(2.5% = 2326) c(97.5% = 3446)
56 1:52 PM 4378 c(2.5% = 3467) c(97.5% = 4921)
57 1:52 PM 3816 c(2.5% = 3128) c(97.5% = 4213)
58 1:52 PM 6395 c(2.5% = 5102) c(97.5% = 7180)
59 1:52 PM 3214 c(2.5% = 2756) c(97.5% = 3445)
60 1:52 PM 2548 c(2.5% = 2191) c(97.5% = 2750)
61 1:52 PM 4001 c(2.5% = 3368) c(97.5% = 4311)
62 1:52 PM 2879 c(2.5% = 2179) c(97.5% = 3197)
63 1:52 PM 3580 c(2.5% = 2984) c(97.5% = 3976)
64 1:52 PM 2050 c(2.5% = 1617) c(97.5% = 2276)
65 1:52 PM 3010 c(2.5% = 2466) c(97.5% = 3347)
66 1:52 PM 6340 c(2.5% = 5177) c(97.5% = 6936)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100
1:12 PM 0834 113
8:20 AM 0810 66
12:29 PM 3113 151
1:00 PM 3609 112
7:01 AM 2122 20
1:20 PM 1514 117
1:25 PM 3006 141
1:30 PM 3914 175
1:29 PM 4320 120
1:30 PM 0517 194
11:10 AM 3105 1
1:30 PM 2701 119
7:45 AM 4616 34
9:15 AM 4125 74
1:43 PM 1717 115
1:43 PM 0537 130
1:45 PM 0817 166
8:30 AM 2605 76
1:43 PM 0501 133
1:45 PM 0818 88
1:43 PM 1717 115
10:40 AM 1510 121
1:45 PM 1810 188
1:48 PM 3943 160
1:51 PM 3637 170
1:52 PM 3638 137

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions